Ipsos has been getting a lot of questions lately about the political makeup of polls. This is normal towards the end of an election cycle – lots of people scrutinize the polls a lot more closely! We welcome the discussions, and it offers us an opportunity to help people better […] Read more »
In defense of ‘dumb’ poll questions
On Tuesday morning, we wrote about a question in the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll that asked: “On a ship in a storm, who would you rather have as the captain?” The response — via Twitter, Facebook and even email (yes, people still email sometimes) — was overwhelming and (stunningly, […] Read more »
Will Obama’s Bounce Hold?
Has President Obama’s convention bounce reached its peak? On Monday, his position declined slightly in our forecast for the first time since Aug. 27. To be sure, Mr. Obama had a fairly strong day of polling on Monday relative to the long-term baseline. But the data was a little bit […] Read more »
Do 15% of Ohio Republicans think Romney killed bin Laden? Probably not.
… PPP asked [Ohio] voters who they thought deserved more credit for the killing of Osama bin Laden: Obama or Romney. 63 percent said Obama, 31 percent weren’t sure, and 6 percent said Romney. The results for Republican voters were even more astonishing. 38 percent said Obama, 47 percent weren’t […] Read more »
Obama gets a lift, Romney flatlines in post convention polling
President Obama has gotten a bounce in the national tracking polls taken in the aftermath of the Democratic national convention. I maintain that our ability to judge whether this bounce has changed the trajectory of the race cannot be known until 15 September. What we can tell now, though, is […] Read more »
Note to GOP: When Your Pollster Says Don’t Worry, You Should
Here’s a rule of thumb for campaigns: When they have to start telling supporters not to worry, it’s probably time to start worrying. Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s top pollster Neil Newhouse issued an unusual early morning memo on Monday assuring Republicans that the campaign remains on track to win […] Read more »