Redistricting in America, Part Five: The Interior West/Heartland

Key Points• For all of the focus on redistricting, the overall political environment matters for House elections too, and President Biden has shown some signs of weakness in recent weeks.• As we continue our redistricting series, we analyze several small-to-medium-sized states in the Interior West and Heartland.• One of the […] Read more »

Why Republicans can claim to be the party of the White working class

Iowa Democrat Rita Hart decided this week to withdraw her challenge to her defeat in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District last year. Her six-vote loss to Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks capped off a successful year for Iowa Republicans who won the presidential race, Senate race and three of four House races […] Read more »

The Senate: Iowa to Leans Democratic

Key Points• We are moving the Iowa Senate race from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. Iowa remains a Toss-up for president.• Iowa may have replaced North Carolina as the race likeliest to decide Senate control, although North Carolina remains a very viable Democratic target despite Cal Cunningham’s (D) troubles.• We have […] Read more »