Key Points• With the national House map nearly complete, it appears that the overall map still leans toward Republicans.• However, this GOP bias is not nearly as strong as it was a decade ago.• We rate and analyze the new Missouri and New York congressional maps. CONTINUED Kyle Kondik & […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Five: The Interior West/Heartland
Key Points• For all of the focus on redistricting, the overall political environment matters for House elections too, and President Biden has shown some signs of weakness in recent weeks.• As we continue our redistricting series, we analyze several small-to-medium-sized states in the Interior West and Heartland.• One of the […] Read more »
2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline
Key Points• 38 states will see gubernatorial races over the next two years; Democrats currently hold 18 of the seats that will be contested while the GOP holds 20.• Maryland, where popular Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) is term-limited, will be hard for Republicans to hold. With a Leans Democratic rating, […] Read more »
The State of the States: The Governors
Key Points• Many state governors have received high marks for their handling of coronavirus.• Three of them on the ballot this November get a boost in our gubernatorial ratings this week.• As of now, the open seat in Montana seems to be the seat likeliest to change hands on the […] Read more »
Here Are The Voters Who Powered Biden To His ‘Big Tuesday’ Wins
Joe Biden racked up four more wins on Tuesday night, further growing his delegate lead over Bernie Sanders in what is now largely a two-person race. Exit polls showed that several broad demographic trends that have shown up in earlier states continued to hold in Tuesday’s primaries: Biden tends to […] Read more »
Sanders’s Big Problem Isn’t the Delegate Math. It’s the Voters.
Bernie Sanders needed to fundamentally change the trajectory of the Democratic primary race after decisive defeats last week on Super Tuesday. After Tuesday’s contests, even a fundamental shift might not be enough. Joe Biden’s victories in Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho confirm that he has seized a commanding national advantage, […] Read more »