The late spring/early summer of an off-year is one of my favorite times of the year. Sure, I love the longer days and the warmer weather. But it’s also that time when we finally get a full, data-supported account of who showed up to vote in the previous election. Exit […] Read more »
What Happened in 2022
The 2022 election defied conventional wisdom and historical trends. In a typical midterm election year with one-party control of the presidency, House and Senate, the incumbent party would expect major losses. Instead, Democrats re-elected every incumbent senator and expanded their Senate majority by a seat, won the overwhelming majority of […] Read more »
Black turnout dropped sharply in 2022 midterms, Census survey finds
Turnout in last year’s midterm elections fell from a century-high point of 50 percent in 2018 to 46.6 percent in 2022, and census data released Tuesday suggest the drop was concentrated among Black voters, younger voters and college graduates. Black voter turnout dropped by nearly 10 percentage points, from 51.7 […] Read more »
How abortion changes election maps
A Wisconsin election set the stage last week for Democrats to act on a range of issues in the state, from gerrymandering to election access — but the biggest driving force behind the result was abortion. Abortion has been illegal in Wisconsin since the U.S. Supreme Court overturned Roe v. […] Read more »
GOP election deniers fare worse at the ballot box, on average
As the Republican Party gears up for the 2024 presidential race, there’s a large image in the rearview mirror that refuses to go away: The 2020 presidential election. About a week ago, the Colorado GOP selected a 2020 election denier to lead the party for the next two years. That […] Read more »
The election-fraud crew loves polls now
Republican Kari Lake came up short in her bid for governor of Arizona by a narrow margin last November, landing about 17,000 votes behind out of 2.6 million cast. … On Friday, though, Lake and other allies of Trump seized on a new poll to argue that she hadn’t lost; […] Read more »