What Really Happened in 2022?

The late spring/early summer of an off-year is one of my favorite times of the year. Sure, I love the longer days and the warmer weather. But it’s also that time when we finally get a full, data-supported account of who showed up to vote in the previous election. Exit polls give us a good first pass, but until the voter files have been updated and verified and the county and precinct-level data have been gathered and organized, our understanding of the electorate isn’t complete.

This week, Catalist, a Democratic data analytics firm, released “What Happened,” the fourth installment of their series analyzing the previous year’s election results.

Some of their findings support the current narrative of the midterm election — namely that young voters were the key to Democrats’ success at the statewide level. But other findings, like Democrats’ overall slippage with white college-educated voters, goes against some of the conventional wisdom. CONTINUED

Amy Walter, Cook Political Report with Amy Walter


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