Democrats have slight edge in close Florida Senate, governor races

On the eve of Election Day, Democrats have a slight edge in Florida’s high-stakes Senate and gubernatorial contests, a new NBC News/Marist poll finds. At the top of the ticket, Democrat Andrew Gillum is up among likely voters against Republican Ron DeSantis, 50 percent to 46 percent, within the poll’s […] Read more »

What If The Polls Are Wrong Again? 4 Scenarios For What Might Happen In The Elections

There’s a lot that can happen Tuesday, the culmination of a long midterm election campaign that will provide the first nationwide measure of the U.S. electorate since Donald Trump was elected president. One narrative has become dominant: that Democrats are likely to gain control of the House and Republicans hold […] Read more »

Final Election Update: Democrats Aren’t Certain To Take The House, But They’re Pretty Clear Favorites

This is a difficult article to write. Not for any deeply personal reason, but just because I’m not quite sure what I’m supposed to lead with — the most likely outcome or the uncertainty around that outcome. Either way, there’s the potential for misunderstanding. People can mentally “round up” high […] Read more »