Abortion, Trump and Swing Voters

Democrats are happily watching from the sidelines as the Republican Party continues to be defined by two issues that turn off swing voters: Donald Trump and abortion. The more Trump is in the news, the better for Democrats. President Biden’s job approval ratings are a less-than-robust 43%, and poll after […] Read more »

How crime is igniting new conflicts between red states and blue cities

Republican-controlled state governments are opening an explosive new front in their decadelong drive to exert more control over the decisions — and decision makers — in Democratic-run cities and counties. From Florida and Mississippi to Georgia, Texas and Missouri, an array of red states are taking aggressive new steps to […] Read more »

David Shor’s (Premature) Autopsy of the 2022 Midterm Elections

The Democratic Party entered the 2022 midterms saddled with a historically unpopular president and an inflationary economy. And yet the party is exiting them as the election’s clear winner. In fact, Democrats put up one of the best midterm performances for an in-power party ever. David Shor believes that he […] Read more »

Calcified Politics Gives Us Another Close Election

Just as Democrats did in 2020, Republicans came into the 2022 midterms expecting a landslide. Sky-high inflation, an unpopular President, and pessimism about the direction of the country all pointed to a ‘typical’ midterm romp for the party out of power. But, as we have written extensively over the last […] Read more »