As the midterm elections approached, the New York Times undertook an interesting experiment: It would conduct polling in dozens of House districts, showing users the results in real time. Partnering with Siena College’s polling team, the idea was that users would gain a better understanding of how poll results are […] Read more »
Final House Ratings: 75 Competitive Races, Ten Rating Changes
With Election Day finally upon us, the House battlefield is wider and more lopsided than at any time since 2010, when Republicans won their current majority. We rate 75 races as competitive, including 70 GOP-held seats and just five held by Democrats. A “Red Exodus” is contributing to the potential […] Read more »
Trump’ GOP: Election Eve
President Donald Trump closed this campaign by warning of the grave danger people faced from criminal and violent immigrants and from the Democratic leaders who supported open borders and sanctuary cities. We think you will find that when the votes are all counted, Donald Trump and the GOP will have […] Read more »
A new poll shows the secret truth of 2018: Not much has changed in months
Here’s a remarkable thing about the 2018 election campaign: how little has changed. That is the lesson from the third George Washington University Politics Poll, which was just released today. I think most people know that we live in a world of strong partisanship, which is increasingly evident in congressional […] Read more »
Final picks for 2018: Democrats in House; Republicans in Senate; Democrats big in gubernatorial races; be on guard for upsets
… Our expectations for this election have been consistent for the past several months. We favor the Democrats in the House and Republicans in the Senate, and we expect the Democrats to pick up a significant share of governorships. Our picks follow. We’ve also included an “upset watch” listing in […] Read more »
Major Polling Stories of the 2018 Cycle
1) It is indeed all about President Trump. Almost seven out of ten (69%) registered voters are either voting to send a signal of support (31%) or opposition (38%) to the president. This ties Obama (69%) as a high water mark since this question was first asked in 1998. CONT. […] Read more »