On the eve of the midterm elections, Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot among likely voters, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. The party’s 55% to 42% advantage in the new poll mirrors their lead in early October and […] Read more »
Two Vastly Different Election Outcomes That Hinge on a Few Dozen Close Contests
Democrats appear poised to win the House popular vote on Tuesday by a wide margin, with national polls showing sustained disapproval of President Trump — and yet the fate of the chamber is not a foregone conclusion. On the day before the midterm elections, two vastly different outcomes remain easy […] Read more »
This midterm election is like no other in a generation
Tuesday’s midterm election is about many things. It’s about health care and immigration. It’s about the economy. It’s about power and who will hold it, both in Washington and in the states. Above all, it’s about something more elemental: what kind of country Americans see today and want to see […] Read more »
Democrats Open Up A Big Lead On Eve Of Midterms, But Trump Gets High Marks On The Economy: IBD/TIPP Poll
With voter interest in the midterm elections at historic heights, Democrats opened up a 9-point lead over Republicans on the question of who should control Congress after the midterm elections, while President Donald Trump’s approval rating remained unchanged at 40%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP Poll. The two top issues […] Read more »
Three early races to watch on election night
Election Day is Tuesday, but with late votes and close races we might not know which party controls the House and Senate until the wee hours of the next day — or after. If you are watching closely, however, you can probably get a good idea of the way things […] Read more »
Election Fundamentals in 2018
The modelers at FiveThirtyEight have made a compelling case that we should expect Republicans to pick up a seat or two in the upcoming U.S. Senate election. The purpose of this post is to show that this is essentially the same prediction we would have made two years ago, once […] Read more »