On the eve of Election Day 2018, the battleground is largely set, but GOP prospects have dimmed in at least one suburban seat and couple Democratic longshots should be taken more seriously
The addition of Alaska’s At-Large District and South Carolina’s 1st District brings the total number of vulnerable Republican seats to 81 compared to just 8 vulnerable Democrat seats. The disparity between the two parties is reminiscent of 2010, when our pre-election list of competitive races included 100 Democratic seats and just nine Republican seats. Democrats lost 63 seats that cycle.
Republicans are unlikely to lose that many seats this cycle, but the battleground is one of the biggest reasons why Democrats are likely to regain the majority – because they need to win less than a third of the competitive seats. CONT.
Nathan L. Gonzales, Inside Elections