One of the 2022 results that surprised me was Catherine Cortez Masto’s successful re-election in Nevada. … So how did she pull it off? I think Dobbs was clearly an important factor, as it was in many states. But a new report suggests that Cortez Masto and her campaign can […] Read more »
David Shor’s (Premature) Autopsy of the 2022 Midterm Elections
The Democratic Party entered the 2022 midterms saddled with a historically unpopular president and an inflationary economy. And yet the party is exiting them as the election’s clear winner. In fact, Democrats put up one of the best midterm performances for an in-power party ever. David Shor believes that he […] Read more »
If Democrats prevail during the midterms, TV advertising might have something to do with it
A vote sign appears at a campaign event for Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak and U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Mastro in Las Vegas on Nov. 1, 2022. Ronda Churchill/AFP via Getty Images John M. Sides, Vanderbilt University The neck-and-neck race for control of the U.S. Senate is particularly unwelcome news for […] Read more »
Democrats Must Still Close On The Cost-Of-Living
The Democrats have lost ground in this survey from +3 overall margin to even in this survey — and to -2 in the likely electorate. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living, where they lost 3 points to be 3 points down and Republicans […] Read more »
Why Am I Seeing That Political Ad? Check Your ‘Trump Resistance’ Score.
… In the run-up to the midterm elections next month, campaigns are tapping a host of different scores and using them to create castes of their most desirable voters. There are “gun owner,” “pro-choice” and “Trump 2024” scores, which cover everyday politics. There are also voter rankings on hot-button issues […] Read more »
A Memo to Democrats
The four of us have been around politics a long time. We have been a part of some of the Democratic Party’s biggest victories; we have seen some big losses. In the 2022 election, things are as close as we have ever seen them. But we are right on the […] Read more »