This November, the states that decided the last presidential race may send a powerful signal about the next one. President Joe Biden assembled his winning Electoral College majority in 2020 by flipping five states that had supported Donald Trump four years earlier: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin across the Rust Belt […] Read more »
Red wave crashing? GOP momentum slips as fall sprint begins
The possibility of a great red wave still looms. But as the 2022 midterm elections enter their final two-month sprint, leading Republicans concede that their party’s advantage may be slipping even as Democrats confront their president’s weak standing, deep voter pessimism and the weight of history this fall. The political […] Read more »
Trump is back in the headlines, and it may cost Republicans in November
… Democrats have been gaining ground in their bid to hold on to the US Senate and House, and Trump likely has a lot to do with it – canceling out the normal midterm penalty with his own midterm penalty. Right now, the generic congressional ballot is basically even. If […] Read more »
Women Are So Fired Up to Vote, I’ve Never Seen Anything Like It
… For many Americans, confronting the loss of abortion rights was different from anticipating it. In my 28 years analyzing elections, I’ve never seen anything like what’s happened in the past two months in American politics: Women are registering to vote in numbers I’ve never witnessed. I’ve run out of […] Read more »
Abortion Could Define California’s Elections
Abortion rights dominated the message when the Democratic congressional candidate Jay Chen sent off a small group who had gathered to canvass for him here early on Sunday morning. “A right that we had all assumed we would have, the right of a woman to have control of her own […] Read more »
Independent Voters Now Tilting Toward Democrats in Midterm Elections, WSJ Poll Finds
Democrats are entering the homestretch before November’s election in better shape than earlier this year, boosted by gains among independent voters, improved views of President Biden and higher voting enthusiasm among abortion-rights supporters, a Wall Street Journal poll shows. Republicans have electoral fuel to tap into if they can keep […] Read more »