The 1998 and 2002 elections remain the only times since 1932 that the president’s party has gained House seats in a midterm. … The midterm dynamic can be very strong, producing huge partisan waves that result in large House (and Senate) losses for the president’s party. This is especially true […] Read more »
Democrats say they’re saving democracy. So why are they bending it?
Last Thursday, the “unity president” gave one of the most divisive speeches ever delivered by a sitting president. Billed as a nonpolitical speech to the nation, it was instead an overtly partisan and angry screed, rationalized with self-serving rhetoric about saving the “soul of the nation” from the unpatriotic MAGA […] Read more »
Florida: Gov. DeSantis leads former Gov. Crist 50%-47%; Sen. Rubio has a 49%-47% lead over Cong. Demings
AARP Florida released key findings from a 2022 election survey that shows candidates should pay close attention to Floridians age 50 and older, with issues such as inflation, Social Security and Medicare, and taxes top of mind for these voters. Florida residents 50+ are a crucial voting bloc, consistently showing […] Read more »
Democrats Winning Over the “Meh” Voter
A big reason we pay so much attention to a president’s job approval rating, even in a midterm election when the president isn’t on the ballot, is the significant correlation between voter opinions of a president and their vote choice in an election. … This year, however, Democratic Senate candidates […] Read more »
Michigan: Gov. Whitmer’s lead grows as fall campaign begins
Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer’s lead over Republican Tudor Dixon has expanded to 13 percentage points with two months remaining before Election Day, according to a new poll from The Detroit News and WDIV-TV (Channel 4). The statewide survey of 600 likely voters in the battleground state found that 48% supported […] Read more »
‘They’re getting killed among women’: Skeptical female voters stand in way of GOP Senate
Republicans this election cycle thought they had finally achieved a breakthrough with suburban women after years of losing support. Now, as the primary season has all but ended, the GOP is back where it once was: Appealing directly to skeptical female voters, the women whose support will make or break […] Read more »