… Importantly, the generic ballot is one of a number of tools that can be used to figure out how many seats each party will win in the House. On this measure Democrats have picked up ground since the beginning of the year. For a slew of reasons (gerrymandering, Democratic voters […] Read more »
Impeachment talk has perils for both parties
The recent convictions of President Trump’s former campaign chairman Paul Manafort and his longtime lawyer Michael Cohen have pushed talk of a possible impeachment proceeding to a new level. Right now, it’s potentially tricky territory for both parties. A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that 49 percent of all […] Read more »
Trump’s Approval Number Nose-Dives, Dems’ Blue Wave Might Be Building: IBD/TIPP Poll
Just 36% say they approve of the job President Trump is doing, a 5-point drop from last month, according to the latest IBD/TIPP poll. Fifty six percent disapprove of Trump’s job performance, up from 53% the month before. … Trump’s sagging approval appears to be improving Democrats chances of taking […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Arizona & Florida: Breaking Down the Primary Results
That’s a wrap! The Poll Hub team breaks down Tuesday’s midterm election primaries in Arizona and Florida. Was Martha McSally’s win in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate in Arizona really a slam dunk? And surprise! Andrew Gillum won the Democratic primary for Florida governor. What happened? Plus the Poll […] Read more »
How the Democratic Party Can Turn the Sun Belt Blue
This week’s competitive primaries in Arizona and Florida suggest the midterm elections could provide revealing signals on one of the most important questions facing the two parties over the next decade: Can Democrats overturn the Republican advantage in the rapidly growing Sun Belt? CONT. Ronald Brownstein, The Atlantic Read more »
Dark Days Ahead for Trump and the GOP
This week’s developments—the guilty verdict of Paul Manafort, President Trump’s former campaign head found guilty on tax and bank-fraud charges, and the guilty plea by Michael Cohen, Trump’s longtime personal lawyer, for campaign-finance-law violations which he says were directed by Trump—have to leave Republicans unnerved. And then there was Wednesday’s […] Read more »