With their supporters energized in opposition to Donald Trump, Democrats hold their widest advantage in midterm election vote preferences since 2006, when they seized control of both houses of Congress. Rebounding from a tighter contest in the spring, Democratic House candidates now lead their Republican opponents nationally by 52-38 percent […] Read more »
The digital campaign: In 2018, the rules have changed
Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum didn’t seem to have a prayer of winning last week’s Democratic gubernatorial primary in Florida. Gillum’s opponents spent nearly 15 times as much as he did, and late polls had him trailing badly. But Gillum spent much of his campaign war chest on the hottest outreach […] Read more »
Red state Democrats in tight spot over Kavanaugh confirmation
The fight over Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh has been fiercely waged between the bases of both political parties, but it’s those senators stuck in the middle who find themselves in the most precarious position. As the confirmation hearings for Kavanaugh begin Tuesday, the pressure is increasing on a small […] Read more »
8 questions for the midterm elections: A blue wave or not?
Campaign 2018 begins the final stretch this week. All but a few states have finished their primaries, and the general election ballots are set almost everywhere. The stakes are difficult to overstate. Republicans today control the White House, the House and Senate. President Trump dominates the scene. But Democrats could […] Read more »
Maybe Trump’s incredible poll drop is real
When the Washington Post/ABC News poll released last week showed President Trump’s approval down to 36 percent, we (and others) cautioned that more polling over a longer period of time would tell if this was simply a blip or if Trump’s myriad scandals — plus his boorish conduct regarding national […] Read more »
Ahead of midterms, Democrats lead in cash, candidates and voters
Labor Day traditionally begins the homestretch of a campaign season, or the moment when uninterested voters actually tune into the election. As the runners near the last turn in 2018, the numbers show some clear trends: An enthusiastic electorate, a diverse pool of candidates and a solid advantage for Democrats […] Read more »