In an expansive look at the role issues and politics may play in the 2018 midterm elections, the latest KFF Health Tracking Poll continues to find health care as the top issue for voters, but large shares of voters also say candidate characteristics, President Trump, and party control over Congress […] Read more »
What happens when you put 16 Beto O’Rourke and Ted Cruz supporters in a room together
The Senate race between Ted Cruz and his challenger, Texas congressman Beto O’Rourke, has become a symbol of the battle over a state that Democrats have long wanted to turn blue. So when 16 Texas voters — half supporters of each candidate — came to face-to-face, it’s no surprise a […] Read more »
President Trump, health care drive midterm elections
Less than three weeks until Election Day, voters are thinking most about health care, the economy, and reining in President Trump — and Democratic candidates are benefitting. Currently, 49 percent of likely voters back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 42 percent the Republican, according to a new […] Read more »
USC Dornsife/LA Times Poll: Newsom holds large lead in California governor’s race
Three weeks before Californians elect a new governor, Democratic candidate Gavin Newsom holds a commanding 23-point lead over Republican challenger John Cox, 54-31 with 15 percent still making up their mind, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll conducted online September 17 – October 14. CONT. USC Dornsife Read more »
Odds Are, Your Next Governor Will Be A Democrat
In the midterm elections for the House and Senate, Democrats are very likely to win the majority of votes, but they face structural barriers to winning the majority of seats. … In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by almost 3 million votes but lost the […] Read more »
The Political Class Got 2016 Wrong. Could We See a Repeat?
… Although most politicos argued it was unlikely that Trump could win the presidency trailing Clinton going into the last weekend before the election, they forgot or chose to deny that it was still theoretically possible that voters could deliver a surprise outcome. Many are still in denial. Reading the […] Read more »