Democrats hold the advantage in battleground Pennsylvania, as GOP candidates haven’t closed the sale with Republican voters. In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat John Fetterman holds an 11-point lead over Republican Mehmet Oz, 47%-36%, in a Fox News poll released Thursday. Three percent back independent candidate Everett Stern and 13% […] Read more »
Pulling at Threads That May Unravel the Election Narrative
On paper, the November midterm elections should be a disaster of epic proportions for Democrats. Midterms are bad enough for any party holding the White House. When a party controls both chambers in Congress, it can be particularly treacherous. There’s no effective way to point a finger or shift the […] Read more »
America In Focus: What Happened When 7 Trump Voters and 6 Biden Voters Tried to Find Common Ground
If American democracy is going to thrive again, regular people on the left and right have to find more ways to deal with each other. We have to understand why we disagree rather than merely stew in those disagreements. Some on the left characterize conservatives as fascists and nut jobs; […] Read more »
House Rating Changes: More Movement Toward Republicans
Key Points• We are making 10 House rating changes, 9 of which benefit Republicans.• Our overall best guess at the net change in the House — a GOP gain somewhere in the 20s — remains unchanged.• We don’t see a huge impact, so far, from the Supreme Court’s landmark abortion […] Read more »
Backlash: The Counter-Revolutions Driving Politics & Policy
Politics and policy move in cycles. The pendulum swings from growing government to conservative retrenchment, less regulation to stronger oversight, Democratic leadership to Republican. Momentum is shifting again. There are four key backlashes to recent trends that businesses and investors must understand and navigate to succeed in 2023-24. CONTINUED – […] Read more »
CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024
A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year. The poll comes as Biden’s approval ratings remain low and most Americans are discontented with the state […] Read more »