Not long after a presidential election, conventional wisdom sets in on how the losing party can win four years later. … One school of thought is for Democrats to win back the white, working-class voters that defected from Barack Obama/Bill Clinton to Trump in 2016. The other school, pushed by […] Read more »
Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.
New national polls show voters are more upbeat about President Donald Trump’s performance and more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House. Or not. … It’s best to approach survey results with a dose of common sense. That may make those of us seeking complete objectivity a […] Read more »
Why Stormy Daniels Poses a Problem for Democrats
It was telling that as Tax Day arrived this week, the media’s focus was riveted not on the massive tax overhaul that President Trump recently signed into law, but on James Comey, Stormy Daniels, and Michael Cohen. In their own ways, these three players in the Trump drama symbolize the […] Read more »
Does Endogenous Partisanship Distort Trump Approval Numbers among Republicans?
Donald Trump often receives high approval marks from members within his own party, a sign many interpret as a forceful demonstration of strong party loyalty in the current age. Moreover, many view this strong base support as a constraint on other Republican elites; despite a tumultuous presidency, elected Republican officials […] Read more »
It’s The Future Economy Stupid
While recent polling shows most Americans are feeling good about the national economy and their own personal finances, that does not mean people don’t have real concerns. This project shows that Americans are less concerned about their finances today than they are about their financial tomorrow. They believe the already-rich […] Read more »
GOP Pollster: ‘Massive warning signs’ for Republicans
Our NBC/WSJ pollsters Bill McInturff and Fred Yang join MTP Daily to discuss the new poll showing possible signs that the environment has changed to benefit the Democrats in the midterms. NBC News Read more »