… As the 2018 nomination season gets underway, analysts anticipate a network of insurgent candidates and activists to seek a liberal purification of the Democratic Party, in the same way that Tea Party members took aim at a detested Republican “establishment” via a series of formidable primary challenges and congressional […] Read more »
Divides Over Trade Scramble Midterm Election Messaging
President Trump’s trade policies enjoy the strong backing of his supporters but are less popular among independents, moderate Republicans and others whose votes could decide control of Congress in the midterm election this fall. That could complicate Republicans’ plans to make their economic record a central argument in their case […] Read more »
The powerful pattern Democrats must break to win the Senate
The battle between the parties for control of the closely divided US Senate has become a contest between the exception and the rule. The rule is that over the past quarter century, it has grown much more difficult for even the most talented Senate candidates to win in states that […] Read more »
No One’s Talking About the New Tax Law
President Trump went to West Virginia this month to talk about tax cuts, but he got a bit distracted. He talked about China, the North American Free Trade Agreement, border security, “sanctuary cities” and states he won in 2016. Eventually he turned to his prepared comments on taxes. “This was […] Read more »
States of Change: Demographic Shifts and the Future of the Trump Coalition
The 2016 election defied most expectations. An unorthodox candidate put together an unexpected coalition of states to win the electoral college while losing the popular vote by almost 3 million votes. As the nation’s demographics change, can this coalition hold together for Republicans in 2020 and beyond? How will shifting […] Read more »
Republicans regain advantage on dealing with the economy
In a reversal, Americans now prefer Republicans over Democrats as the party best equipped to deal with the economy and taxes, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. … But while Republicans have regained the upper hand on handling taxes generally, the tax reform signed by the president […] Read more »