Political calculations can change about as quickly as the news. Just look at past week: The news that a speaker of the House announced his retirement and a Robert Mueller Russia investigation that keeps ensnaring people close to the president were drowned out temporarily when President Trump announced a military […] Read more »
Democrats’ advantage in midterm election support is shrinking
Democrats hold an advantage ahead of the midterm elections, but a Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that edge has narrowed since January, a signal to party leaders and strategists that they could be premature in anticipating a huge wave of victories in November. The poll finds that the gap between […] Read more »
2018 vote margin narrows as Democratic engagement slips
A Democratic advantage in the upcoming midterm elections has narrowed in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with indications of lower engagement among members of the party now out of power in the federal government. CONT. Sofi Sinozich & Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
How Paul Ryan lost the Republican Party
Two years ago, House Speaker Paul D. Ryan was the Republican Party’s indispensable man, uniting the party’s unruly congressional caucus behind an agenda of cutting taxes and shrinking the welfare state. Now Ryan (Wis.) is retiring to spend more time with his teenage children. What happened? Ryan’s speakership began with […] Read more »
Poll shows Democrats have midterm intensity advantage, but no ‘knockout’ yet
An advantage in intensity — against President Donald Trump and for voting in November — is fueling Democrats ahead of the midterm elections that take place more than six months from now, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
More popular vote-electoral college splits may be in our future
It’s always being said that demographics are destiny. But which demographics? Democrats learned painfully in 2016 the meaning of that question, when Donald Trump upended the electoral map by capitalizing on the demographics of today as Democrats pinned their hopes on demographics of tomorrow. What does the future hold? In […] Read more »