Don Blankenship likes to believe he knows something about rough justice and who deserves it. “We don’t need to investigate our president. We need to arrest Hillary,” one of his campaign ads proclaims, mimicking President Trump’s crude 2016 rallying cry, “Lock her up!” … In Republican races across the country, […] Read more »
Demographic shifts show 2020 presidential race could be close
President Donald Trump’s 2016 win upended much of the conventional wisdom about the U.S. electorate to cobble together a surprising victory. But how much of that remarkable 2016 movement is replicable in 2020, particularly with the demographic changes remaking the United States? A new bipartisan report runs through some of […] Read more »
Why a primary challenge to Trump is likely to fail
Several Republican lawmakers have said it is too early to answer whether they’ll back President Donald Trump in 2020. Yet barring some seismic event, Trump will most likely be their only viable choice. Trump right now is adored by the Republican base. His favorability ratings among Republican voters are up […] Read more »
Risk Factors for 2018 GOP House Incumbents
Multiple indicators, including generic ballot polls , President Trump’s approval ratings and recent special election results, point to midterm danger for Republicans. But without robust race-by-race polling, it’s trickier to predict individual races six months out. Are Democrats the favorites to pick up the 23 seats they need for a […] Read more »
The Democrats’ lead in House polling is tightening. Here’s what it means
Everything seems to be going the Democrats’ way on their march for House control in November. Republicans, including House Speaker Paul Ryan, are retiring left and right. Democrats continue to overperform in special elections. Nonpartisan handicappers, including CNN, continue to move more races in the Democrats’ direction. And yet, the […] Read more »
Americans Lack Confidence in Key Economic Leaders
For only the fifth time in 18 years, none of the key federal leaders whose job includes managing the U.S. economy earn majority confidence from Americans for their economic leadership. CONT. Lydia Saad, Gallup Read more »