It will be a nationwide referendum on the Trump presidency. But that will mean very different things depending on what part of the nation we’re talking about. President Donald Trump is by far the biggest force driving politics in 2018. Trump has unleashed a fierce opposition yet has inspired loyalties […] Read more »
Polls show a return of Democrats’ ‘Big Blue Wall’
When President Donald Trump captured the White House in 2016, he won with an electoral map that showed a shift in long-standing voting patterns, hammering away at the Democrats’ “Big Blue Wall” of states in the upper Midwest. New state polls from Marist this week, however, suggest those older patterns […] Read more »
Scott Walker’s troubles highlight deeper GOP issues in governors’ races
… A Marist College poll gives Democrat Tony Evers a 54% to 41% lead over Republican Gov. Scott Walker in the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. This poll is more optimistic for Evers, the most likely Democratic nominee, than the only previous nonpartisan poll of the race. Walker led Evers by a […] Read more »
Georgia’s gubernatorial race may be the purest example of politics in the Trump era
Stacey Abrams isn’t yet a nationally known politician, but one sign that she could become one is her picture appearing on the cover of Time magazine’s latest issue. … The Time cover is indicative of the interest in the Georgia race. Few gubernatorial contests will attract as much attention or […] Read more »
Actually, Republicans Do Believe in Climate Change
It is widely believed that most Republicans are skeptical about human-caused climate change. But is this belief correct? In 2014 and 2016, we conducted two national surveys of more than 2,000 respondents on the issue of climate change. We found that most Republicans agreed that climate change is happening, threatens […] Read more »
Who Do We Think We Are?
According to a new study, Americans’ perceptions of the opposing political party tend to skew far from the truth. … Perry Bacon, senior writer for FiveThirtyEight, wrote about the study for his column “Secret Identity.” He says that there was a time when we assumed some diversity within the parties, […] Read more »