… A Marist College poll gives Democrat Tony Evers a 54% to 41% lead over Republican Gov. Scott Walker in the Wisconsin gubernatorial election. This poll is more optimistic for Evers, the most likely Democratic nominee, than the only previous nonpartisan poll of the race. Walker led Evers by a 48% to 44% margin in a June Marquette University poll. The average of the two puts Evers ahead by 4.5 percentage points.
What’s the point: Regardless of which Wisconsin poll you’re more likely to believe, Walker’s try for a third term is in trouble. At no point during his two previous reelection campaigns did Walker trail by anything close to 5 points.
So just how much trouble is Walker in? To find out, I collected every governor poll I could find for campaigns dating back to 2006. CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN