One key measure of any Democratic wave in the midterm elections will be whether it crests high enough to overcome the formidable Republican defenses in the growing suburbs across the South. The answer will have implications that extend far beyond 2018. While Democrats have notched significant gains since the 1990s […] Read more »
Four in 10 Women Voters Age 18-44 Are ‘More Enthusiastic’ to Vote in Mid-Terms
With the 2018 primary election season concluding in August and the general congressional mid-term election season ramping up, Kaiser Family Foundation polling finds younger women (ages 18-44) voters are more enthusiastic about voting this year than in previous mid-term elections. In a new data note about KFF’s June Health Tracking […] Read more »
99 Days to Go, and the Midterm Elections Battleground Is Not What Was Expected
The battleground in the fight for control of the House is starting to come into focus with 99 days to go until the November election. It’s not exactly the battleground that analysts expected. It’s not dominated by well-educated, suburban districts that voted for Hillary Clinton. Instead, the battleground is broad, […] Read more »
The wave that’s building for November may not be blue so much as pink
Given the wealth of news stories in any given five-minute period and given the focus on the battle to control the House in November’s midterm elections, there has been a consistent pattern to the tenure of President Trump that often goes unmentioned: the steady and active opposition of a majority […] Read more »
What’s Good for Democracy Is Also Good for Democrats
… While it is tempting to view elections as being decided in the moment, much of the groundwork is set in place decades earlier. Looking at survey data from the 1950s, political scientists observed that voters who came of age during the Great Depression identified as Democrats at much higher […] Read more »
5 metrics that suggest Democrats are poised for big wins 100 days to the midterms
We’re now just 100 days away from the midterms, and the big question on everyone’s mind is whether Democrats will net-gain 23 seats and gain control of the House of Representatives. A look at five different metrics suggests that Democrats are favored to take back the House, though each of […] Read more »