… The Republicans who make a living hating Trump today hated him before he was elected. The rest of the party remains solidly behind him. The reason for that, as we enter this election year, is less granular than feeling happy or sad about a specific presidential behavior. Rather, it […] Read more »
New electoral map comes into focus ahead of 2020 census
The coming year is going to be about more than choosing a new president; it’s going to be about creating a new Electoral College map. The 2020 Census will lead to a new congressional apportionment that will lead to a new path to the 270 electoral votes for winning the […] Read more »
Five myths about rural America that muddle the political realities
In political, media and academic circles, the Trump era has sparked renewed interest in rural America — the supposedly “forgotten” areas of the country where white, non-college-educated voters gave the president the electoral edge he needed to prevail in 2016. The near-singular focus on Donald Trump has yielded a body […] Read more »
The Polarization of Reality
Evidence is growing that Americans are polarized not only in their views on policy issues and attitudes towards government and society, but also in their perceptions of the same, factual reality. In this paper we conceptualize how to think about the polarization of reality and review recent papers that show […] Read more »
2024 lookahead poll: GOP voters eye Trump dynasty
Ready to skip 2020 and go straight to 2024? In a SurveyMonkey poll for Axios, Republican voters chose children of President Trump — Don Jr. and Ivanka — as two of the top four picks for president in four years. CONT. Neal Rothschild, Axios Read more »
Trump courts Latinos in Miami as part of launch of evangelical coalition
In a 75-minute rally-style address — but with more religious overtones — Trump touted his record on social issues and noted that the evangelical vote helped power his improbable victory in 2016, proclaiming: “We’re gonna blow those numbers away in 2020.” “Evangelicals . . . have never had a greater champion, not […] Read more »