Rising crime is putting blue-state governor races in play

Rising crime is emerging as a top issue for voters this year, adding another glaring political vulnerability to the Democrats’ ledger. A Gallup poll conducted last month found concern about crime at its highest level in nearly two decades, with 53 percent of Americans saying they worried a “great deal” […] Read more »

Why young voters probably won’t cost Democrats in 2022

… Biden’s approval rating with Americans 18-29 years old is just 38% in aggregated Gallup data since September. From January 2021 to June 2021, it was 61% — about the same percentage of the vote he earned among voters under 30 in the 2020 election. Biden’s popularity among young Americans […] Read more »

Ron DeSantis’ governing strategy in Florida is paying off

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has championed controversial stances that have catapulted him into GOP stardom. From Covid-19 vaccines to critical race theory to the law critics have dubbed “Don’t Say Gay,” DeSantis has annoyed Democrats (and many medical professionals) and delighted his fellow Republicans. He’s played to the GOP base […] Read more »

(Why) Are Democrats Losing the Latino Vote?

Recorded on April 19, 2022, this panel discussion was presented by the University of California, Berkeley’s Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research. The panel featured Amanda Iovino, Vice President, Polling Director, WPA Intelligence, Youngkin for Governor; Anaís López, Senior Analyst, BSP Research; David Shor, Head of Data Science, Blue Rose […] Read more »

Why the Republican offensive on abortion is escalating

When three red states finalized severe restrictions on abortion over consecutive days last week, they highlighted the GOP’s rising militancy on the issue — and the political and legal calculations underpinning it. … All of this is coming even as a January CNN survey conducted by SSRS found that more […] Read more »