… When people tick off the most competitive states on this year’s Senate map, their selections would probably include states like Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Most race rating experts will also list Nevada, even if it is not top of mind. Indeed, none of the Democrats holding federal office […] Read more »
It’s Still Trump’s Party
The month of May is a consequential one for former President Donald Trump. In the twelve states that hold primaries that month, the former president has endorsed Republican candidates for Governor, Senate, and/or House in all but two. … At the end of the month, most of the attention will […] Read more »
Biden Job Approval Down Most Among Younger Generations
Joe Biden’s recent job approval ratings, which are averaging 14 points lower than those early in his presidency, have declined far more among younger than older generations of Americans. In fact, Biden’s job approval has changed relatively little among baby boomers and not at all among traditionalists. As a result, […] Read more »
Trump-District House Democrats Could Become Extinct This November
Key Points• The number of “crossover” districts — those won by different parties for president and House — has generally been declining over time.• Under the current congressional district lines, there were only 16 crossover districts in 2020, with Republicans winning 9 Biden-won seats and Democrats winning 7 Trump-won seats.• […] Read more »
Are Democrats Headed for a Shellacking in the Midterm Election?
Key Points• Presidential party midterm losses are a regular feature of American politics.• President Biden’s numbers are weak as well. But it may be that Democrats are insulated in some ways from a potential “shellacking.”• Democrats are very likely to lose their House majority, although their total net loss is […] Read more »
Half of Americans report gas prices causing financial hardship
A new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds that half of Americans are experiencing financial hardship due to high gas prices, with one in five reporting “serious” difficulties. Americans blame lots of actors for the current prices including Russian President Putin, oil companies, and President Biden and the Democrats. These pressures potentially […] Read more »