Key Points• Over the past several weeks, we’ve analyzed redistricting all over the country.• Overall, our House outlook remains unchanged after this analysis: There are a lot of reasons to like the Republicans’ chances of winning a majority next year.• All of our 44 full redistricting previews for each state […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Six: The Great Lakes
Key Points• This week, we’re looking at redistricting in seven Midwest/Great Lakes states: Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.• The highly competitive region was a collective nailbiter for president, and Republicans hold an overall House edge there, though not as large as earlier last decade.• Illinois is really […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Five: The Interior West/Heartland
Key Points• For all of the focus on redistricting, the overall political environment matters for House elections too, and President Biden has shown some signs of weakness in recent weeks.• As we continue our redistricting series, we analyze several small-to-medium-sized states in the Interior West and Heartland.• One of the […] Read more »
I don’t buy that the 2020 census is good news for Democrats: Nate Silver
538’s Nate Silver breaks down what the changing U.S. demographics revealed by the 2020 census means for redistricting. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Census shows a more diverse, urban America
Last week was nerd Christmas for political data devotees. The U.S. Census released the latest batch of redistricting data from its 2020 headcount, including key measures on race, ethnicity and geography. And two key elements emerged out of the data drop: The country is growing more racially and ethnically diverse […] Read more »
Release of census data kicks off redistricting fight
Dave Wasserman, U.S. House editor of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, breaks down the upcoming redrawing of congressional districts as control of the House potentially hangs in the balance. MTP Daily The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. […] Read more »