After a year marked by mass shootings, deadly natural disasters, and a contentious midterm election season, most Americans remain optimistic about what lies “ahead for the world” in 2019, according to the latest poll from PBS NewsHour, NPR and Marist. CONT. Jessica Yarvin, PBS NewsHour Read more »
Americans Are Optimistic About The Future — Just Don’t Ask About Politics
As 2019 approaches, most Americans are feeling pretty good about the future. A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll found that 60 percent of Americans are optimistic about the world in 2019, compared with just 37 percent whose outlook is less rosy. … For the sizable segment of the country that is […] Read more »
Feel free to gorge on 2020 polls. Just don’t start making any bets.
Rudy Giuliani. I don’t mean to dunk on the guy unnecessarily, but the starting and finishing points of discussions about the reliability of early presidential primary polling comes down to those six syllables: Rudy Giuliani. A Gallup poll in December 2006, shortly after the midterm elections that year, offered good […] Read more »
Introducing The Cook Political Report’s 2020 House Ratings
The 116th Congress hasn’t even been sworn in yet, and there’s still no resolution in sight to one North Carolina race tainted by election fraud. But already, the 2020 battle for the House is shaping up to be highly competitive. The race for the White House is set to overshadow […] Read more »
Trump’s favorite pollster was the least accurate in the midterms
The President continues to be unpopular in most polling. Yet, many of his backers and he insist that the average poll doesn’t adequately capture his true level of support. Trump and these supporters are mistaken, however. Just this week, the President tweeted out a result from his favorite pollster, Rasmussen […] Read more »
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did
… Polls and forecasts, including FiveThirtyEight’s forecast, were highly accurate and did about as well as you could expect. So let’s go through how our forecast, in particular, performed: I’ll brag about what it got right, along with suggesting some areas where — despite our good top-line numbers — there’s […] Read more »