Trump 2020 Is A Stronger Candidate Than Trump 2016: Looking purely at Trump’s personal standing in 2016 vs. 2020, he is no worse for wear, with the greatest change in his ratings coming from the consolidation of support among Republicans after two years of providing wins for his GOP base […] Read more »
Everyone is underestimating Trump. It could hurt Democrats and Republicans alike.
… The conventional wisdom on Trump’s reelection odds are much too bearish. Trump has a better chance of winning again than many pundits seem to think. And both Democrats and Republicans need to take Trump seriously and recalibrate their decision process or risk facing serious consequences. … Emory University professor […] Read more »
2020 rankings: It’s now or never for Democrats who want to be president
Since Monday, four candidates have made their final go/no-go decisions about the 2020 Democratic presidential race. … The rapid-fire decisions made by that quartet of candidates speaks to how quickly the 2020 race has gone from a standstill to a dead sprint. The battle for key early-state operatives is on. […] Read more »
Early polling suggests 2020 will be about Trump. That’s bad news for him.
President Donald Trump was able to win the White House in 2016 despite being the least liked major party nominee in history. Today, more people continue to dislike than like Trump. If Trump’s popularity ratings remain low, the question is whether he can repeat his 2016 feat. New polling suggests […] Read more »
Why the Senate Is the Big 2020 Story
Just about everyone interested in American politics these days is focused on what Special Counsel Robert Mueller is expected to do in the coming weeks, along with the unfolding presidential contest. To the extent there is any remaining political bandwidth, it’s mostly on the U.S. House, where Republicans would need […] Read more »
2020 House Overview: Can Democrats Keep Their Majority?
The spectacle in North Carolina’s 9th District makes 2018 feel like the election that will never end. And, the looming presidential primaries are rapidly overshadowing congressional politics. But the 2020 fight for the House is already underway, with both the DCCC and NRCC working behind the scenes to identify the […] Read more »