We’re really not too sure if this is news but Republican Connie Mack’s political consultant Arthur Finkelstein thinks he can win. Nontheless, his analysis is telling and the fact they he’s posted on the candidates’s web site for the world to hold him accountable for it come Nov. 7 is […] Read more »
Falling Prey to the Dangerous Temptation to Cherry-Pick Polls
Even a fairly calm spell in the polling, like the last couple of days, can give people opportunities to see what they want in the data. The most egregious form of this is cherry-picking the three or four polling results that you like best for your candidate. A vast majority […] Read more »
WPA’s Election Update: 3 Weeks Left
… Of the six polls completed last week, two show a one point Romney lead, two show a two point Romney lead, and two show a one point Obama lead. Averaging across those polls shows a very close race with Romney leading by around two-thirds of a point. … That’s […] Read more »
Polls Reveal, Essentially, Nothing
A slew of recently released polls from the nation’s top public opinion firms have revealed, well, essentially nothing about the 2012 presidential race, sources confirmed Monday. [cont.] The Onion Read more »
Xbox Live/YouGov Polling
Xbox, in conjunction with the polling company YouGov, has launched a new poll for this election cycle. The goal of the poll is threefold. First, Xbox wants to create an engaging product for its users. Second, the polling team wants to be able to provide meaningful insight into the 2012 […] Read more »
Interpreting Romney’s Bounce
… A few weeks ago, I wrote that a Romney comeback would be unprecedented, even though the race was within five points. I hope election watchers properly appreciate Romney’s achievement as a first in the history of presidential politics. His bounce is far more impressive than Kerry’s four years ago, […] Read more »