Democratic pollster Mark Mellman shares his thoughts on the differences between polls and whether there still many undecided voters as we get closer to Election Day. Jansing and Co., MSNBC Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy Read more »
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart: Nate Silver Extended Interview
In this exclusive, unedited interview, statistician Nate Silver explains the science behind effective political forecasting and separating the signal from the noise. The Daily Show The Daily Show with Jon StewartGet More: Daily Show Full Episodes,Political Humor & Satire Blog,The Daily Show on Facebook Read more »
Our Brave New World: Ipsos Comment on AAPOR’s Statement on Credibility Intervals
The AAPOR statement on “Understanding a credibility interval” is fair, balanced, and agile in showing the complexity of the issues: in particular, that our changing survey research world demands new approaches and ways of thinking, especially with respect to nonprobability designs. Ipsos, as one of the firms which conducts online […] Read more »
Never mind that Gallup poll, but pay attention to Wisconsin
The question that has occupied my mind in the previous few weeks is whether the divide between the state and national polling can keep up. State polls had suggested that Mitt Romney has rough road to 270 electoral votes, while the national polls actually had him ahead of President Obama. […] Read more »
Hofstra presidential debate insta-polls: Obama beats Romney but not decisively
An immediate look at the post-debate “insta” snapshots suggest that a gain for the president is possible. The CBS/Knowledge Networks poll of undecided voters had Obama winning the debate 37% to 30%. A Public Policy Polling survey of debate watchers in the swing state of Colorado gave Obama a 48% […] Read more »
Which Changed First, the Polls or the Markets?
While Wall Street has thrown the bulk of its donations behind Mitt Romney, it is not viewing his potential ascent as an entirely good thing for the markets. … Traders have not suddenly concluded that Mr. Romney is a sure bet for the White House — most prediction models still […] Read more »