Hello, my name is David, and I’m a pollaholic. [cont.] David Brooks, New York Times Read more »
Nate Silver’s Flawed Model
… The main reason that Silver feels Obama is still an overwhelming favorite is that while Romney has surged in the polls to tie (or lead) Obama nationally, the challenger is still, in Silver’s opinion, a long shot to pull together enough battleground states to get to 270 electoral votes. […] Read more »
The South Isn’t Responsible For Obama’s Weak National Poll Numbers
Last week, Gallup released a demographic breakdown of its likely voter survey, which at that time found Romney leading by 4 points, 50-46. But it found that Romney’s biggest gains were in just one region: the South, where Romney held a massive 22-point lead. Perhaps predictably, this aroused latent liberal […] Read more »
Fox News: Gallup’s Frank Newport speaks with Chris Wallace about presidential polling
Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace: Frank Newport, Gallup editor-in-chief, discusses their presidential tracking poll. Watch the latest video at <a href=”http://video.foxnews.com”>video.foxnews.com</a> Read more »
Confused by all the polls? Pollsters explain the variation
As recently as two weeks ago, political prognosticators were looking at polls and declaring, “If Romney would have to pull off a miracle to close the gap in national polling, he has no shot at matching the president in the electoral college.” This week, with Gallup polling showing Mitt Romney […] Read more »
Gallup vs. the World
… The Gallup national tracking poll now shows a very strong lead for Mitt Romney. As of Wednesday, he was ahead by six points among likely voters. Mr. Romney’s advantage grew further, to seven points, when Gallup updated its numbers on Thursday afternoon. … Other national polls show a race […] Read more »