Hillary Clinton has a commanding lead over Jeb Bush, 53 percent to 41 percent, in a hypothetical 2016 matchup between the two, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll Wednesday. How much does that tell us about their relative likelihood of becoming president? Not much. Two years before an election, […] Read more »
Polling on racism is complicated
From a pollster’s perspective, racism is a tough nut to crack. Is there any proven and tested battery of questions that will measure racism? For that matter, is racism a single construct, or is it a multidimensional phenomenon that renders measurement nigh impossible? Reading the comments allegedly said by L.A. […] Read more »
To Gauge Americans’ Interest in the World Cup, Ask Some People in Spanish
A recent poll finding most Americans don’t care about this year’s World Cup says more about polling challenges than it does about interest in the global soccer tournament. An Ipsos/Reuters poll this month said 66 percent of Americans don’t plan to follow the World Cup this June and July in […] Read more »
New Hampshire again ‘safe’ for polling
New Hampshire is “safe for polling” again after Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) signed a bill that lift’s the state’s restrictions on survey research. Before Hassan signed SB 196 on Wednesday, the Granite State had an anti-push poll law on its books that the attorney general’s office was using to go […] Read more »
Conversation with Geoff Garin
Democratic pollster Geoff Garin joins us on the Political Wire podcast to give us insight into upcoming midterm elections and whether Hillary Clinton will run for president in 2016. CONT. Political Wire Read more »
In court filing, pollster reveals great detail about Lowden, vulnerabilities, last campaign
Almost exactly four years ago, Sue Lowden’s U.S. Senate campaign was struggling for money. She was still well ahead of her primary opponents, Sharron Angle and Danny Tarkanian, in her own polling. But she was getting pounded on the “Chickens for Checkups” issue by Patriot Majority, a front group for […] Read more »