Hillary Clinton has a commanding lead over Jeb Bush, 53 percent to 41 percent, in a hypothetical 2016 matchup between the two, according to a Washington Post/ABC News poll Wednesday.
How much does that tell us about their relative likelihood of becoming president? Not much. Two years before an election, head-to-head polling asking people for whom they plan to vote generally has little correlation with the results. CONT.
Allison Kopicki, The Upshot