As Iowa voters prepare to kick off voting in the U.S. presidential nominating contests Feb. 1, an inquiry into the failure of Britain’s pollsters to predict last year’s election result is raising questions about the accuracy of surveys in the race to succeed Barack Obama. An investigation by the British […] Read more »
Not All Polls Are Created Equal
… To Nate Cohn, reporter with The New York Times’ The Upshot, not all polls are created equal. In fact, very few are worth your time. He joined NPR’s Tamara Keith and Danielle Kurtzleben on the NPR Politics Podcast to talk about political polls, the methodology behind them, and which […] Read more »
General election opinion poll failure down to not reaching Tory voters
The long-awaited postmortem into what wrong with the opinion polls in last year’s general election is published on Tuesday, and it points the finger at the pollsters’ failure to reach enough Conservative voters. Patrick Sturgis, a professor of research methodology at Southampton University, who has headed a team of nine […] Read more »
Can We Trust the Opinion Polls?
… In the first part of a series examining the role of opinion polling in British politics, David Cowling looks at the track record of polls in previous elections. He explores why their results matter and whether there were warning signs that should have indicated they were going wrong before […] Read more »
Everybody Loves a Winner. So What Happens if Trump Loses?
… Research shows that expectations of success are strongly associated with which candidates people support in primaries, especially among less informed voters. In this way, Mr. Trump’s initial success may have helped attract more support, creating a positive feedback dynamic that helped fuel his monthslong ascent in the polls. At […] Read more »
Lurie Departs GoPro to Take CEO Job at SurveyMonkey
Zander Lurie has left GoPro, where he headed its entertainment efforts, to become CEO of survey startup SurveyMonkey. … Lurie had already served as interim leader of SurveyMonkey, after the tragic death of David Goldberg last year, becoming its executive chairman. CONT. Kara Swisher, Re/code Read more »