How big did Hillary Clinton bounce in the polls after the Democratic National Convention? Based on the available data as of Wednesday afternoon, the Democratic nominee soared higher than Donald Trump did. CONT. Geoffrey Skelley, Sabato’s Crystal Ball Read more »
When are election polls most reliable?
A new round of US election polls have shifted momentum behind Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the three-month dash to November. … But do the recent batch of surveys paint an accurate picture of what will happen when voters head to the polls in November? Not quite, according to experts […] Read more »
How Today’s Political Polling Works
So far this year, pollsters have put out more than 400 national Presidential general election polls, an average of about two per day; if the 2012 election is any guide, pollsters will be releasing as many as four per day as Election Day nears. While these poll releases are the […] Read more »
Three Things to Know About Candidates’ Post-Convention Poll Bounces
After the conventions comes the hunt for the convention bounce. … Here are a few things to keep in mind as additional polling organizations release results in the coming days: CONT. Aaron Zitner, Wall Street Journal Read more »
Trump: There’s something ‘phony’ about these polls
Donald Trump cast doubt on general election polls that show him trailing Hillary Clinton, calling those polls “phony.” “I see some great polls — I see one from the Los Angeles Times, just came out, where were ahead by 4 or 5 points. I see one from CNN where we […] Read more »
Why Hillary Clinton’s Polling Bounce Has a Better Chance of Persisting
What a month. At the end of a series of tumultuous events and two political conventions, the presidential race is more or less where it was before it all began: Hillary Clinton has a clear lead. … Convention bounces often prove to be short-lived, as the name implies and as […] Read more »