One of the defining features of the Democratic primary has been the age divide among voters — those 45 and over have overwhelmingly backed former Vice President Joe Biden, while those under 45 have generally supported Sen. Bernie Sanders. Now that Biden is the likely Democratic nominee, many political observers […] Read more »
How COVID-19 Is — And Isn’t — Changing Politics
According to the latest polling, the spread of COVID-19 has disrupted the daily lives of the vast majority of Americans. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how that broad effect has — and has not — changed partisan politics. They also ask how the pandemic […] Read more »
Four Reasons to Be Cautious About Trump’s Approval Ratings
Ever since the COVID-19 coronavirus crisis began to accelerate a couple of weeks ago, political obsessives have wondered about the likely effect that it would have on President Trump’s job approval ratings—and, by extension, his chances of re-election in November. … But realistically, it’s far too soon to glean much […] Read more »
Donald Trump starts 2020 in the worst polling position since Harry Truman
… Trump is the first incumbent president to be trailing at this point in the general election cycle (i.e. late March in the election year) since Harry Truman in 1948. Now, we’re still more than half a year away from the election. It would be easy to dismiss Biden’s advantage […] Read more »
Did Nate Silver Help Elect Trump? Maybe…
A recent article in the Washington Post suggested that President Donald Trump’s election may have been helped by probability forecasts of an almost-certain victory by Hillary Clinton. CONT. David W. Moore, iMediaEthics Read more »
Americans’ Opinions about the COVID-19 Pandemic
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re discussing our latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll about COVID-19. Are Americans concerned about the spread of the virus in their local communities? Do they consider it a real threat? Who is driving these opinions? And, who do Americans trust in light of this […] Read more »