On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the presidential contest (untraditionally) rolls on despite the COVID-19 pandemic. We discuss the state of the race and where the candidates stand. Plus, Kathleen Weldon, Director of Data Operations and Communications at the Roper Center for Public Opinion Research, is with us. Weldon […] Read more »
Trump’s standing in battleground states may be slipping
President Donald Trump’s path to reelection was always going to hinge on his performance in a handful of swing states. That path looks more perilous for the President in a series of recent high-quality polls. CONT. Harry Enten, CNN Read more »
Trump’s ‘secret stash’ of voters
… Given that we are in the middle of a national health care crisis, wouldn’t it make sense not to draw sweeping conclusions about 2020 until things settle down? Handicappers of old may not use all the snazzy models of today, but we always had one rule of thumb on […] Read more »
Biden’s strength with older voters could threaten Trump’s electoral path in 2020
A string of recent polls shows troubling signs for President Trump with older voters, a group central to his reelection effort that appears to be drifting away from him amid a pandemic that has been especially deadly for senior citizens. Former vice president Joe Biden, whose support from older voters […] Read more »
Does Trump have a secret stash of voters?
President Trump currently trails his presumptive Democratic opponent, former vice president Joe Biden, in nearly every national public opinion poll. But a closer look at the data reveals he may have a secret stash of voters that makes the race closer than it currently appears. CONT. Henry Olsen, Washington Post […] Read more »
Is Biden Gaining Older Voters, and Losing Young Ones?
After impeachment, a coronavirus pandemic and four years of tweets, the early national polls show that the 2020 presidential campaign begins almost exactly where it left off in 2016. … But not everything is exactly the same, and even modest differences have the potential to alter the race. Mr. Biden […] Read more »