… Biden’s advantage is the steadiest in a race with an incumbent running since at least 1944. That could mean it’ll be harder to change the trajectory of the race going forward, though this remains more than close enough that either candidate could easily win. To know this, I went […] Read more »
A record number hold a strong opinion of Trump
President Donald Trump’s campaign is about to unleash a “Death Star” against former Vice President Joe Biden, according to campaign manager Brad Parscale. In any other era with any other president, such imagery might seem out of place. It makes sense for Trump. Trump’s path to victory will probably rely […] Read more »
New polling data show Trump faltering in key swing states
While the country’s attention has been riveted on the COVID-19 pandemic, the general election contest is quietly taking shape, and the news for President Trump is mostly bad. After moving modestly upward in March, approval of his handling of the pandemic has fallen back to where it was when the […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Senate Stakes
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we turn to the U.S. Senate. What are the most competitive races in 2020? Do the Democrats have a viable pathway to regain control of the Senate? What’s the potential impact of the top of the ballot on these contests? Marist Poll The OPINION […] Read more »
Pandemic Pollwatch: Civil liberties implications of contact-tracing apps
This is the eighth in a series of weekly papers from GQR summarizing and analyzing all available data on global opinion on COVID-19, with a particular focus on the political implications of global opinion linked to the pandemic. … As a global debate heats up over the civil liberties implications […] Read more »
The Race to Define the Presidential Race
On the surface, recent polling in battleground states paints a dire picture for President Trump’s re-election prospects. Polls taken in Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin find Former Vice President Joe Biden leading Trump by anywhere from three to eight points. And, in every state but Wisconsin (which was taken in […] Read more »