On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we discuss Americans’ attitudes toward social distancing. Are Americans experiencing cabin fever and venturing out as a result? What precautions do Americans think should be in place before resuming some semblance of normal life? We dive into the data. Marist Poll Recent polls: Coronavirus […] Read more »
How older voters worldwide are reacting to the pandemic
Today GQR continues its weekly series of papers that summarize and analyze all publicly available public opinion data on the pandemic, worldwide. This issue features an in-depth analysis of how older voters worldwide are reacting to the pandemic. CONT. GQR The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new […] Read more »
Trump is benefiting from a covid-19 grace period. It won’t last forever.
President Trump bungled the coronavirus crisis. … It would be reasonable to expect Trump’s poll numbers to drop like a rock after this sort of mismanagement. But instead his approval rating is stable at around 44 percent — roughly where it was before the virus hit. That’s because Trump is […] Read more »
Here are the two groups of voters who may determine 2020
The 2016 presidential election was determined by voters who disliked both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Trump carried this portion of the electorate by a 17-point margin and, with their support, won the presidency. Not surprisingly, much attention has been paid this cycle to these “double haters” (i.e. those who […] Read more »
Are State Polls Any Better Than They Were in 2016?
To most, Joe Biden’s clear lead in recent state polls suggests that he has the early edge in the race for the presidency. To others, it’s not so meaningful. After all, Hillary Clinton also held a clear lead in the state polls, and yet Donald J. Trump won the election. […] Read more »
Americans, Not Politicians, Will Decide When We Reopen
All but a dozen states are in some phase of reopening from COVID-19 related shutdowns, and forecasts of the pandemic’s toll in the U.S. have correspondingly increased death projections due to the virus. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses whether there is an overarching plan […] Read more »