Our new CNN/SSRS poll jumps right off the screen: Former Vice President Joe Biden has 55% to President Donald Trump’s 41%. Now, any one poll could be deemed an outlier. But let’s get something straight: Biden’s clearly on the upswing in high quality live telephone polling like CNN’s. In fact, […] Read more »
This is Trump’s most spectacularly wonderfully terrible tweet ever
I mean, where do I start? I’m tempted to start by noting the staggering irony of President Trump insisting on Twitter that a new poll showing him losing by a wide margin to former vice president Joe Biden relies on the same bad math that convinced a slew of Republicans […] Read more »
The location of party conventions
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not he thinks the location of party conventions boost candidates’ polling numbers. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Joe Biden hits a milestone Hillary Clinton never did: 50%
Most times when we look at polling we talk about margins. For example, former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a 7 point margin in an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll out on Sunday. What that can miss, however, is that Biden’s close to 50% (49%), while […] Read more »
Silent majorities are a misnomer
A few days ago, President Donald Trump tweeted, “SILENT MAJORITY!” amid the recent protests. The President may be hoping that there is a group of people who support him and his positions, yet aren’t being captured by the popular zeitgeist. The polling, of course, suggests that Trump is in a […] Read more »
Why Most Americans Support the Protests
Beyond the scenes of protest and resistance playing out in cities across the country, a movement of a different sort has taken hold. The American public’s views on the pervasiveness of racism have taken a hard leftward turn over the past few years. Never before in the history of modern […] Read more »