American public opinion can sometimes seem stubborn. Voters haven’t really changed their views on abortion in 50 years. Donald J. Trump’s approval rating among registered voters has fallen within a five-point range for just about every day of his presidency. But the Black Lives Matter movement has been an exception […] Read more »
In These Tribal Times, Leads Don’t Get Much Bigger Than Biden’s
Over the past week, the picture has grown ever more clear: Unless things change in a big way by Nov. 3—or whenever enough votes are counted to make it clear—Republicans are going to have a very bad night. The biggest question is, just how bad. CONT. Charlie Cook Recent polls: Trump […] Read more »
Trump campaign demands CNN apologize for poll that shows Biden leading
President Donald Trump’s campaign is demanding CNN retract and apologize for a recent poll that showed him well behind presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. The demand, coming in the form of a cease and desist letter to CNN President Jeff Zucker, was immediately rejected by the network. “We stand […] Read more »
Presidential job approval: Trump’s re-election prospects look bleak
In modern political history, an incumbent’s job approval has been the single best measure of his reelection prospects. If this holds true in 2020, the current outlook for President Trump is bleak, and his ability to turn around his situation will steadily decline as election day nears. … The stability […] Read more »
Where do Americans stand on election issues? Let them tell you.
Since last summer, the Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape Project has been asking Americans about the biggest issues in the 2020 election – the economy, guns, abortion, climate change, to name a few. They’ve asked detailed questions to learn more about voters, nuances in their positions and how they may […] Read more »
Wave of New Polling Suggests an Erosion of Trump’s Support
The coronavirus pandemic, a severe economic downturn and the widespread demonstrations in the aftermath of the death of George Floyd in police custody would pose a serious political challenge to any president seeking re-election. They are certainly posing one to President Trump. His approval rating has fallen to negative 12.7 […] Read more »