I blew it. The final Monmouth University Poll margin did not provide an accurate picture of the state of the governor’s race. So, if you are a Republican who believes the polls cost Ciattarelli an upset victory or a Democrat who feels we lulled your base into complacency, feel free […] Read more »
Voters don’t care about Donald Trump. They care about Joe Biden’s unpopularity
Democrats had hoped that former President Donald Trump could serve as a boogeyman. They wanted his continuing unpopularity to serve as a call to action to Democrats, even as President Joe Biden himself is unpopular. Tuesday night should serve as a warning that such a strategy doesn’t look like it’ll […] Read more »
Why Democrats are in a lot of trouble in Virginia
Virginia will have the eyes of the political world on it Tuesday night. Most of the attention will be on the marquee gubernatorial election between Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin. Less watched, but important for its national implications, are the elections for the 100 seats in the House […] Read more »
How New Jersey may prove some politics still is local
There’s a gubernatorial race this upcoming Tuesday in the state with the 11th largest population in the nation. No, it’s not in Virginia (which has the 12th largest population). It’s in New Jersey. You may not have heard much about the election in the Garden State between incumbent Democratic Gov. […] Read more »
A fractured Virginia electorate prepares to pick a governor
The newly released Washington Post-Schar School poll shows the race for governor of Virginia as a dead heat as it heads toward Tuesday’s conclusion. Everything is now at the margins and small changes in the shape of the electorate compared with recent elections will determine the winner. … The Virginia […] Read more »
The 5 key groups fueling Youngkin’s rise
Glenn Youngkin has caught Terry McAuliffe. But to beat him in next week’s race for governor of Virginia, Youngkin needs to close the deal with key groups of crossover voters and other segments of the electorate that keyed Virginia’s sharp break to the left in recent years. Three of the […] Read more »