… Over the past two and a half weeks, both Mike Rounds and Rick Weiland have released polls conducted on behalf of their campaign. … Neither poll released the full question order, nor the cross-tabs. The former especially is vital to judging the accuracy of a poll, because it’s well-established […] Read more »
Survey Mode, Population and the Party ID Distribution
It is widely understood that the population sampled, whether adults, registered or likely voters, has some effect on the distribution of partisanship. But mode differences among live interview, automated phone and internet data collection also shift the distributions. CONT. Charles Franklin, Polls And Votes Read more »
Polling on racism is complicated
From a pollster’s perspective, racism is a tough nut to crack. Is there any proven and tested battery of questions that will measure racism? For that matter, is racism a single construct, or is it a multidimensional phenomenon that renders measurement nigh impossible? Reading the comments allegedly said by L.A. […] Read more »
To Gauge Americans’ Interest in the World Cup, Ask Some People in Spanish
A recent poll finding most Americans don’t care about this year’s World Cup says more about polling challenges than it does about interest in the global soccer tournament. An Ipsos/Reuters poll this month said 66 percent of Americans don’t plan to follow the World Cup this June and July in […] Read more »
Latest ABC/WP Poll on Boston Marathon Bombing Investigation: Are They Serious?!
Do 94% of Americans know enough of about the Boston Bombing investigation to have an opinion? Quick: Write down everything you know about the federal government’s investigation into the bombing at the Boston Marathon a year ago. What? You’ve got a blank page? CONT. David W. Moore, iMediaEthics Read more »
Tracking public opinion with biased polls
The traditional gold standard of polling is probability sampling, where you contact people selected at random from a list of the population. But probability sampling isn’t so great anymore. With response rates in the 10 percent range, there is concern that the select group of people who happen to respond […] Read more »