Donald Trump could have generated unstoppable momentum had he won both Ohio and Florida. But now it’s clear to everyone that this will go right through June 7, the end of the Republican primary season. Most observers appear to think that the Republicans are headed for a contested convention now, […] Read more »
Trump’s Path Stays Clearest; Clinton’s, Perhaps More So
This much came clear in the March 15 presidential primaries: Many voters like Donald Trump, while many others don’t. John Kasich is popular in his home state, while Marco Rubio isn’t. Strong conservatives support Ted Cruz. And Hillary Clinton can win Midwestern primaries. For Clinton, that might be enough, or […] Read more »
Almost Perfect Night for Hillary Clinton, and a Peek Ahead to the Fall
Tuesday night could not have gone much better for Hillary Clinton. The results on the Democratic side moved her closer to winning the nomination. The results on the Republican side pushed the G.O.P. even closer toward nominating a candidate who would be at a serious disadvantage in the general election. […] Read more »
Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up
Republican front-runner Donald Trump is asked repeatedly about polls showing him trailing Hillary Clinton badly in the general election. He always says the same thing: other polls show him winning, and Clinton will be very easy to defeat. Is Trump merely blowing smoke, or could he re-draw the partisan landscape […] Read more »
Storm Clouds Darken Over 2016
So now it has come to this. A near riot at Donald Trump’s Chicago rally on Friday evening may be a harbinger of things to come, not just at campaign events but in Cleveland for the Republican convention. … The obvious truth is that a large majority of high-ranking GOP […] Read more »
For the Anti-Trump Forces, It May Be Now or Never
As we’ve suggested, the past few weeks have been defined by increasingly-loud talk of a contested convention and the possibility that the presidential contest will go beyond the first ballot, something that has not happened in either party since 1952. The highly unusual circumstances on the Republican side, where the […] Read more »