Nearly 7-in-10 voters say they think presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump ought to step down as chairman and president of the Trump Organization while he’s involved in politics, a new CNN/ORC Poll finds. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
When Conventional Wisdom Gets Ahead of the Voters
There’s no doubt that Donald J. Trump has had a bad few weeks. His party remains split over his nomination. He fired his campaign manager and his campaign has less money in the bank than some state Senate candidates. But, if you think that a few weeks of bad headlines […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s Coalition of Restoration
… As a first-time candidate with no record in public office, the most important decision Trump faced was how to define himself to the public. From the outset, he has stressed three principal identities. One is as a savvy business executive who would use his private-sector smarts to turn around […] Read more »
How Immigration and Concerns about Cultural Change are Shaping the 2016 Election
… Americans remain firmly committed to an immigration policy that would allow illegal immigrants a way to become citizens, compared to other policy options. More than six in ten (61%) Americans say immigrants living in the U.S. illegally should be allowed a way to become citizens, provided they meet certain […] Read more »
The Electoral College: Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose
Some of our readers may recall that the Crystal Ball published its first 2016 Electoral College map at the end of March. It was somewhat controversial — at least judging by many of the reactions we received. As you see below, at that time we projected Hillary Clinton at 347 […] Read more »
Latinas and the 2016 elections
A recent poll of Latina voters commissioned by American Women, Voto Latino and iAmerica highlights the important role of Hispanic women in this year’s presidential elections. Latinas express more enthusiasm for voting in the 2016 elections than in the 2014 mid-term elections, driven by very polarized feelings about the political […] Read more »