There’s no “glass ceiling” keeping a woman from the presidential nomination anymore, but most Americans still think Hillary Clinton’s gender will influence the November election. They’re just divided on whether it’s more of a curse than a blessing. According to a new poll from the Associated-Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs […] Read more »
Of Electoral Maps, Emails and Pivots
With just under three months to go in election 2016, some things, specifically the Electoral College math, look much clearer. Clinton not only has a decided lead, but she has a deeper, wider path to 270 than Trump does. Then there’s the stuff that makes the election look less stable […] Read more »
Why Democrats Keep Winning Presidential Elections
If Donald Trump can’t erase Hillary Clinton’s lead in the presidential race, the Republican Party will cross an ominous milestone—and confront some agonizing choices. Democrats have won the popular vote in five of the six presidential elections since 1992. … And like earlier dominant parties, Democrats have built their presidential […] Read more »
Election 2016: The voters who could decide the outcome
Five hundred and thirty-seven votes in Florida. In an election with more than 100 million ballots cast, that’s all it took to make George W Bush president in 2000. So while the US presidential election is often described as an exercise in appealing to as many voters as possible, candidates […] Read more »
Polls: Tight in North Carolina while Trump tops in Arizona
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are neck and neck in North Carolina, a state solidifying its position as a perennial presidential election battleground, while Trump holds a 5-point lead in the traditionally GOP-tilting state of Arizona, according to new CNN/ORC battleground state polls. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Republicans’ Voter Registration Gains Probably Aren’t Gains At All
Republicans and the Trump campaign — facing severe polling, staff and advertising disadvantages — might be tempted to point to party voter registration trends as a sign of life and evidence of an underrated ground effort. … Party registration can often be a lagging, rather than leading, indicator. As southern […] Read more »