… There are signs of trouble for Mr. Trump in the exurbs. As delineated by the American Communities Project, exurbs are Republican-leaning counties, with education levels that tend to be higher than average, which sit between the suburbs and rural America. A new analysis of Gallup survey numbers from the […] Read more »
Trump, Clinton and Americans Agree on Several Economic Issues
Both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton delivered major economic speeches within the last several weeks. Trump spoke in Detroit and Clinton in Warren, Michigan, just outside of the Motor City. Reading through the two candidates’ speeches, it’s immediately apparent that, as befits a political campaign, both candidates make it sound […] Read more »
Never forget: The 2016 presidential election is supposed to be one that Republicans can win
… Back in January 2014, I wrote a post titled: “The Democratic Party’s uphill battle to 270 electoral votes in 2016.” Ha-ha, right? Silly me, right? Not at all. At that moment in 2014, given economic growth and President Obama’s popularity and the challenge of winning the White House for […] Read more »
Think the Clinton-Trump Race Will Be a Landslide? Hold Your Horses
… There are a variety of factors that are likely to prevent a candidate today from rallying the huge, 60-plus-point majorities that swept Franklin D. Roosevelt into office in 1936, Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 and Richard M. Nixon in 1972. The country is too fragmented and its political temperature […] Read more »
Internet polls are regularly underestimating support for Hillary Clinton
In the midst of the post-convention wave of growing support for Hillary Clinton, a few polls have shown a much closer race. For example, on August 7th, 2016 an ABC/Washington Post telephone poll which collected responses with live interviewers showed Clinton defeating Trump in a head to head matchup by […] Read more »
The Wave
America is about to experience a once-in-a-lifetime earthquake of an election, but progressives do not seem to trust the new American majority and its ascendant values and thus, continue to be tactical, reactive, and fight old wars. As a result, they may miss the chance to create a governing majority […] Read more »