The presidential race is tight. Hillary Clinton tops Donald Trump by just one point among likely voters in the four-way ballot. In the head-to-head matchup, Trump’s up by one point. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
Pessimistic or Optimistic? Election-Wise, It Matters
Two-thirds of Americans feel they have little or no influence over the actions of the federal government. Forty-five percent say the country’s greatness is ebbing. As many see voter fraud as commonplace. A third aren’t confident that votes in the presidential election will be counted fairly. And a third say […] Read more »
CBS/NYT poll: Trump and Clinton locked in tight race nationally
With the first debate less than two weeks away, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are in a tight race for the presidency nationally. Clinton has just a 2-point edge in a two-way match-up among likely voters. The race is tied when third party candidates are included. Among the broader electorate […] Read more »
God Loves Donald Trump. Right?
… As of mid-August, a Pew survey found Trump beating Hillary Clinton 63-17 among white religious conservatives. Evangelical Christians may not approve of Trump, but they are among his strongest constituencies in this year’s campaign. The Christian right has found common ground with Trump’s less devout supporters on a wide […] Read more »
The Fundamentals: Where Are We in This Strange Race for President?
Every presidential election is different, but nobody’s going to tell us that this one isn’t notably different from any other in the modern period. It’s not just that the two major-party candidates are so disliked and unpopular with much of the public. While Donald Trump’s numbers are no better and […] Read more »
Has Clinton’s ‘Bad Weekend’ Moved The Polls?
… Trump has had a reasonably strong couple of days in the polls, and the odds according to our forecast have resumed moving slowly but steadily toward him after having flattened out toward the end of last week. As is often the case, however, it’s hard to attribute causality. … […] Read more »